:
The United States and Israel: 1948-2008
by Abraham Ben-Zvi
(April 2009)
Introduction: The
Two Paradigms
Unlike most alliances, which are exclusively patterned
on a single cluster of quintessential
strategic factors, the American-Israeli alliance always incorporated two different
dimensions. In the context of Israel's
history, contrary to the French-Israeli
partnership of the 1950s, the American-Israeli partnership
originated from more than one factor
or premise.
As a result, when one of its components temporarily
eroded, its counterpart occasionally
compensated for the loss, leaving the
core of the alliance intact. More frequently,
however, the picture emerging from an
examination of the American-Israeli dyad
has been one of convergence and harmony,
with its two divergent components reinforcing
one another, thus providing Israel with
a highly valuable twofold safety net.
To better elucidate the intrinsic nature of the components
that comprise, in the aggregate, this
bilateral framework, a distinction should
be made between the special relationship
paradigm and the national interest
orientation.
The special relationship paradigm can be thought
of as a cluster of broadly based attitudes
and sentiments in American public opinion
that underscore the affinity and similarity
between the two states and societies
in terms of their pioneering spirit,
heterogeneous social composition and
democratic values. By comparison, the
national interest orientation is predicated
upon a strategic vision of the vital
regional interests that American policy
makers continuously seek to maintain
and defend (Ben-Zvi, 1993, p. 14).
During the Cold War era, the traditional objectives
derived from these interests included
(1) the desire to mitigate the Arab-Israeli conflict, (2) the wish to maintain political
and economic access to Middle Eastern oil and (3) the quest to increase American
influence in the Middle East at the expense
of the Soviet Union (but without risking
a direct and highly-dangerous superpower
confrontation).
In the course of the period that followed the end
of the Cold War and the collapse of the
Soviet empire (1990-2008), the goal of
fighting terrorism and the forces of Islamic fundamentalism came to increasingly
dominate American behavior. Concurrently,
the desire to contain the considerably
less threatening Russia in this new and
revised setting largely subsided as a
central American objective, particularly
during the Clinton presidency.
Having identified the two paradigms that continuously
shaped American attitudes and policies
toward Israel during the period under
consideration, the following review will
divide the period 1948-2008 into 6 distinctive
phases that, in view of these two broad
conceptions, determined the course and
direction of American diplomacy in this
sphere. Although this review will not
seek to chronologically reconstruct all
major events as they unfolded in the
American-Israeli framework, it is hoped
that by clarifying and explaining the
basic factors that effect and shape this
relationship, a higher level of understanding
concerning the core determinants of this
relationship will be achieved.
The Evolution of American Policy
Toward Israel
Phase
1: 1948-1957
The special relationship paradigm emerged as a legitimate
and pervasive concept as soon as Israel
was established in 1948. Its ideological
core was implicit in President Harry Truman's decision that the United States be the
first country to recognize Israel. There
is no doubt that this landmark decision
was predicated upon moral, cultural and
religious premises (such as the perception
of Israel as fulfilling the Christian
prophecy that the Jews would return to
the promised land) rather than upon strictly
geo-strategic national security considerations.
These geo-strategic considerations, which
were originally incompatible with the
very essence of the special relationship
paradigm, evolved around the recognition
of the value of the region's oil resources
to the West, and the consequent need
to secure the support of the Arab Middle
East against the backdrop of the British
decision to disengage from parts of the
area (Ben-Zvi, 1993, p. 16; Mart, 2006,
p. 56).
For all its significance and magnitude, the decision
to recognize Israel (which also reflected
Truman's desire to win the Jewish vote
in the November 1948 election) can be
thought of in retrospect as an aberration
of the modus operandi of both
the Truman and the Eisenhower administrations
in approaching the Middle East. Increasingly
preoccupied with the need to contain
Soviet penetration and encroachment,
the Eisenhower presidency further expanded
Truman’s initial efforts to block
a Soviet thrust into the Middle East
by seeking to induce such pivotal powers
as Egypt and Iraq to align themselves
with the West by providing them generous
military and economic support and assistance
(Spiegel, 1985, p. 56).
The corollary, or by-product, of this posture was
the emergence of an unbridgeable gap
between the special relationship paradigm
and the national interest orientation,
which reflected a pervasive perception
of the very essence of the special relationship
paradigm as inherently incompatible with
the promotion of American national security
and core regional strategic interests
(Ben-Zvi, 1998, p. 30).
Convinced that the pursuit of a pro-Israel policy
predicated upon the logic and basic premises
of the special relationship paradigm
would compel the Arab world to defect
to the Soviet orbit, the Eisenhower administration further reinforced and accelerated its
predecessor's overall reserved attitude
toward Israel, perceiving it initially
as a strategic liability. As a result,
not only was Israel excluded from the
Baghdad Pact, which President Eisenhower
began to construct as soon as he took
office in January 1953, but it was also
denied military aid, security guarantees
and even some less tangible gestures
of friendship and goodwill (Ben-Zvi,
1998, p. 30).
The imposition of comprehensive economic sanctions
in both 1953 and 1956, the refusal
to supply arms in the aftermath of
a massive arms deal between Czechoslovakia
and Egypt, and the delineation, in
1955, of a joint American-British peace
plan (the Alpha Plan) which called
for unilateral Israeli concessions
in the Negev were the main components
of President Eisenhower’s original
policy in the Arab-Israeli zone.
At the same time, the administration remained unresponsive
during its first term to Israel's supporters.
The administration depicted their sentiments
as nothing more than politically motivated
efforts that were initiated by "the
Zionists in this country” to pressure
the administration into supporting Israel
at the direct expense of the national
interest and the "welfare of the
United States" (Dulles Papers, 1955).
Phase
2: 1957-1967
As indicated above, the first decade of American
policy toward Israel was largely characterized
by the perception of an irreconcilable
gap between the special relationship
paradigm and the national interest orientation.
This gap was based upon the conviction,
articulated most clearly by Secretary
of State John Foster Dulles on February
11, 1956, that
"backing Israel might be very costly
to vital United States national interests" (Dulles
Papers,1956).
Oblivious
to the wave of Arab nationalism and anti-Western
sentiments that swept the Middle East,
the Eisenhower administration remained
irreversibly committed to its preliminary
conviction that the strategy of distancing
itself from Israel could still induce
Egypt’s President Nasser to pursue
an accommodative posture toward the west
and thus agree to join the Baghdad Pact.
The pursuit of such a reserved course
was also expected to further reinforce
the American effort "to win over… Saudi
Arabia through aid … and through
concessions by London to Riyadh in a
territorial dispute between the Saudis
and one of the British Gulf protectorates"(Spiegel,
1985, p. 68).
It was only during the second half of the 1950s and
against the backdrop of Egypt's decision
to solidify its ties with the East, that
the architects of American foreign and
defense policy gradually came to realize
that their initial hopes of consolidating
a multilateral security alliance in the
region that would effectively contain
and deter Soviet encroachment could not
be reconciled with the actual dynamics
of the area, whose main actors remained
hostile to American strategic interests
and objectives. Consequently, there was
no longer a need to secure the goodwill
of such powers as Egypt and Syria by
coercing Israel into territorial concessions
and political isolation, or by imposing
upon it comprehensive economic sanctions
(Ben-Zvi, 2002, p. 13). With President
Nasser refusing to even marginally deviate
from this staunchly pro -Soviet policy
despite all American overtures, a mood
of distrust and disillusionment came
to increasingly dominate American Thinking
toward Cairo during Eisenhower's second
term in the White House.
Indeed, with the acutely menacing vision of Arab
defection to the Soviet orbit becoming
partially realized despite the initial
American course in the Arab-Israeli sphere,
President Eisenhower became increasingly
predisposed during his second term in
the White House to reassess his view
of Israel as a strategic liability and
an impediment to the administration's
regional interests and initiatives (Spiegel,
1985, p. 87), as Israel emerged as a
power which - unlike it’s Arab
neighbors - was prepared to protect and
defend Western interest and strongholds
in the region.
Against the backdrop of this changing landscape it
is clear that, at least in its embryonic
phase during the late 1950s and in the
context of official Washington (albeit
not in the broader context of American
public opinion, which was overwhelmingly
committed to a vision of affinity and
similarity between the two states in
terms of their commitment to identical
values and pioneering spirit), the American-Israeli
partnership reflected primarily a cluster
of strategic views and considerations
rather than ideological, religious, social
or cultural attitudes predicated upon
the special relationship paradigm. It
was only during the 1960s that these
attitudes and visions of shared values
and legacies would become a significant
determinant in the shaping of American
policy toward Israel. This alliance also
did not reflect any organizational or
institutional efforts on the part of
the traditional representatives of this
orientation (particularly in the Congress
and in the American Jewish community)
to influence American policy in accordance
with the basic premises of this paradigm
Faced with the bankruptcy of its early accommodative
policy toward the Arab Middle East and
impressed with Israel's military performance
in the 1956 Sinai Campaign, the Eisenhower
administration gradually abandoned its
initial image of Israel as a strategic
liability. Instead, it became increasingly
predisposed to view the Jewish state
as a power that could contribute toward
the accomplishment of Washington's overriding
objective of preventing the imminent
collapse of remaining pro-Western strongholds
in the region such as the Hashemite Kingdowm of Jordan (Ben-Zvi, 2007, p. 15).
Not only was Israel, by virtue of its strategic interests,
geographical proximity, and proven military
capabilities increasingly depicted now
as the only regional power that could
assist the U.S. and Britain in their
efforts to defend the besieged Jordanian
monarchy, but it increasingly came to
be looked upon in Washington as having
considerable deterring and balancing
potential vis-á-vis Egypt
and Syria, (countries that were now viewed
in Washington as the regional proxies
of
"International Communism" (Little,
2002, p. 93; Ben-Zvi, 1998, pp. 59-96;
Ben-Zvi, 2007, pp. 31-53).
A major precipitant along the road of this perceptual
change was the July 1958 Jordanian Crisis,
which followed the April 1957 attempted coup
d'etat ("the Zerqa plot")
against King Hussein and American military intervention
in Lebanon. The crisis was the by-product
of the Iraqi revolution of July 14, 1958,
which brought an abrupt and violent end
to the Iraqi branch of the Hashemite
Monarchy. The revolution further exacerbated Hussein's security predicament. The King,
who in early July managed to abort a
military coup, now faced an acute threat
from the new military regime in Baghdad,
which had cut its oil supplies to Jordan.
Syria also closed its border with Jordan
(Ben-Zvi, 2007, p. 40).
Against the backdrop of this grave and imminent threat
to King Hussein's regime, on July 17,
the Eisenhower administration agreed
to ship vital strategic materials to
Jordan including petroleum, as part of
a joint American-British airlift. Israel
also played its own important part in
the mission (Ben-Zvi, 2007, p. 40).
Although the role assigned to Israel in the operation
of permitting the British and American
airlifts into Jordan through its airspace
may appear at first glance relatively
insignificant, the lessons and inferences
drawn in Washington from Israel's behavior
were nonetheless profound by virtue of
unequivocally demonstrating to the American
leadership that the Israeli government
could now be viewed as a reliable and
credible strategic ally of the Western
powers. With Saudi Arabia refusing to
grant the U.S. and Britain over-flight
rights or the use of the American airfield
at Dhaharan, Israel now emerged in American
thought as the only regional power “that
was prepared to contribute, from its
resources of spiritual strength and determination,
to a stable international order" (FRUS,
1958, p. 58; Ben-Zvi, 1998, pp. 59-96;
Ben-Zvi, 2007, pp. 31-53).
With this recognition of Israel's role as a reliable
and valuable asset in the 1958 Crisis,
at least some of the tension that had
existed for a full decade between the
respective premises of the special relationship
paradigm and the national interest orientation
began to fade into the background of
the American-Israeli framework. Instead,
a vision of basic compatibility and convergence
between them emerged. This perception
came to increasingly pervade the sphere
of American-Israeli relations during
the remaining Eisenhower period, although
there remained within the administration
(particularly within the Department of
State) vocal and powerful voices of resistance
to this change and to its policy implications.
Clearly, in an environment in which the main Arab
actors were either irreconcilably hostile
to the West or, as in the case of Saudi
Arabia, reluctant to become engaged in
any containment design, there was no
alternative to Washington's reliance
upon Israel as a bulwark and guardian
of American strategic interests in the
region. Indeed, by providing a tangible,
undisputed proof of Israel's modus
operandi, the Jordanian Crisis was
transcended beyond its original parameters
and ultimately became a major yardstick
for assessing Israel's role in the area,
eventually (albeit not during Eisenhower's
tenure as president) overshadowing and
outweighing the traditional approach
toward Israel, which was continuously
advocated by the Middle Eastern experts
of the Department of State despite the
revised strategic landscape (Ben-Zvi,
2007, p. 41).
This revised view of Israel as a strategic asset,
which came to dominate the administration's
collective attitude in the aftermath
of the July Crisis was manifested in numerous
statements, messages and internal memoranda.
It was most comprehensively articulated
in a detailed policy-memorandum, which
was submitted on August 19 to the National
Security Council (NSC) by the NSC Planning
Board. According to the memorandum:
It is doubtful whether any likely U.S. pressure on
Israel would cause Israel to make concessions
which would do much to satisfy Arab demands
which - in the final analysis - may not
be satisfied by anything short of the
destruction of Israel. Moreover, if we
choose to combat radical Arab nationalism
and to hold Pursian Gulf oil by force
if necessary, then a logical corollary
would be to support Israel as the only
pro- West power left in the Near East
(Eisenhower, 1958).
Despite this emerging perception of Israel as a key
pro-Western bastion that was capable
of effectively deterring Cairo's unabated
regional ambitions, it soon became clear
that a gap would continue to exist between
images and actual American behavior.
While the seeds of strategic collaboration
between Washington and Jerusalem were
planted in July 1958, the American-Israeli
partnership remained largely embryonic
during the remaining two and a half years
of the Eisenhower era.
The public recognition of Israel’s support
during the Jordanian Crisis did not automatically
lead the administration to abandon such
tenets of its policy toward Israel as
its long-standing refusal to supply advanced
weapons systems to Ben Gurion's government.
The Department of State remained adamantly
opposed to the sale of arms to Israel
despite Israel's apparent vulnerability
to an Egyptian air strike. Thus, in March
1960, Secretary of State Christian Herter
rejected Israel's request to purchase
defensive Hawk short-range, anti-aircraft
missiles. President John F. Kennedy overruled
his State Department in August 1962,
finally closing the gap between perceptions
and actual policy (Ben-Zvi, 2002). The
president was motivated by several strategic
and political considerations, including
his desire to balance the Soviet supply
- in late 1960 - of the advanced MIG-9
interceptors and the IL-28 light bombers
to Egypt (which increased Israel's vulnerability
to a surprise Egyptian air attack), and
his wish to compensate Israel for the
accommodative policy that he pursued
toward Egypt (particularly in the economic
sphere). Furthermore, the fact that -
by 1962 - Israel had already became a
proven strategic asset in Washington
helped diminish and downgrade - in Kennedy's
mind - the magnitude and significance
of the Hawk decision as a precedent.
With the power of the Department of State and its
Middle East experts - "the Arabists" -
vastly reduced during the Kennedy presidency
and with the Department of Defense’s
full support of the Hawk sale in light
of Israel's continued vulnerability to
Egyptian air-strikes, President Kennedy
was able to revise, at long last, the
American traditional arms sales policy
toward Israel. In August 1962, the Hawk
deal was settled, closing the gap not
only between the perception of Israel
as a strategic asset and the specific
operational posture derived from this
recognition, but also between the basic
premises of the special relationship
paradigm and the national interest orientation.
Support for Israel could now be justified
on ideological, social, cultural, religious
and politically strategic grounds. The
fact that "President Kennedy identified
on both a personal and political level
with the young Jewish state and the values
that drove its rapid social, economic
and political development in its early
years of independence"
(Goldman, 2008, p. 4) was, therefore, another
factor (patterned on the special relationship
paradigm), which converged with his determination
to restore the balance of military capabilities
between Egypt and Israel (and thus help
alleviate the legitimate security concerns
of the strategically valuable Israel).
While the Kennedy era also witnessed a severe confrontation
between Washington and Jerusalem, which
surfaced in the spring of 1963 as a result
of Kennedy's demand that Israel open
its newly-constructed nuclear plant in
Dimona for periodic and intrusive international
inspections (Cohen, 1998, p. 156), it
was the decision to sell Israel the Hawk
missile that left its durable mark on
the evolution of American-Israeli relations.
Four years after Israel had demonstrated
its strategic value to the West, the
Kennedy administration moved to augment
the perceptual change with concrete action,
paving the way for Israel to become the
recipient of sophisticated American weaponry
in the following years.
Once the precedent of selling advanced weapons systems
to Israel had been established it became
easier for future presidents to cope
with the remaining pockets of resistance
within the administration (in particular
within the Office of Near Eastern Affairs
in the Department of State) that remained
oblivious to the changing strategic landscape
and to Israel's role as defender of Western
interests in the area. These Department
of State officials continued to adhere
to their preconceived convictions concerning
the dangers to American regional interests
seemingly inherent in the provision of
sophisticated weapons to Israel. The
1965 sale of 210 M-48A Patton tanks and
the 1966 sale of 100 Skyhawk fighter-bombers
exemplified the new arms-sales policy – a
policy that helped Israel to achieve
victory in the 1967 War. (Ben-Zvi, 2002,
p. 3).
And although the actual politics of arms sales to
Israel continued to be, during the entire
Johnson era, fraught with crisis and
controversy, (Bard, 1988, p. 55) with
the Department of State (and, in the
context of the sale of the F-4 Phantom
fighter-bomber, the Pentagon as well)
repeatedly attempting to prevent the
transactions altogether or to link the
supply of such weapons systems as the
M-48 A tank, the Skyhawk fighter-bomber
and the F-4 Phantom fighter-bomber, to
certain Israeli commitments, concessions
and reciprocal moves (in connection with
the nuclear field and with the sale of
American arms to Jordan), these heated
debates invariably ended in the president's
decision to authorize each sale on terms
that guaranteed that vital Israeli security
concerns and interests would not be jeopardized
or compromised (Ben-Zvi, 2004).
Phase
3: 1967-1981
Although the regional groundwork for the establishment
of the American-Israeli alliance had
been laid almost a full decade before
the 1967 crisis started to unfold, the
Six Day War provided a major impetus
for further accelerating this process
of alliance-formation. The cumulative
outcome of this phased, gradual development
was the post- war establishment of a
de facto security alliance between Washington
and Jerusalem that was predicated upon "common
political, ideological, security and
strategic interests" (Bar-Siman-Tov
1998, p. 232).
Contrary to the coercive and punitive tactics that
were used by the Eisenhower administration vis-á-vis the
Ben Gurion government during the 1956
Sinai Campaign, President Johnson, who
shared the cultural and social premises
that formed the core of the special relationship
paradigm, ultimately acquiesced (despite
his fears of escalation) in Israel's
decision to preempt as soon as he realized
that all diplomatic efforts to prevent
war were doomed to failure (Shalom, 2007).
Similarly, in the immediate aftermath of the War,
President Johnson - who was profoundly
impressed with the performance of the
Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) in the War
- repeatedly underscored the need to
link any Israeli withdrawal from "her
territorial gains" in the Six-Day
War to tangible and meaningful "Arab
diplomatic concessions" to Israel
(Spiegel, 1985, p. 153).
It is clear, therefore, that the period following
the War witnessed a full compatibility
between the special relationship paradigm
and the national interest orientation.
This compatibility came with mounting
indications of support for, and identification
with, Israel in American public opinion
converging with a strategic landscape
that could now be defined in terms of
a new patron-client relationship between
Washington and Jerusalem (Bar-Siman-Tov,
1998).
Inspired by the magnitude of Israel's victory in
the War, a variety of Jewish and non-Jewish
groups as well as Israel's Congressional
allies and supporters became increasingly
assertive and outspoken. Their activities
and actions during this period helped
establish the basic institutional and
organizational infrastructure of the
special relationship paradigm (Ben-Zvi,
2004, p. 118). This growing willingness
of the core representatives of the special
relationship paradigm to openly support
Israel was clearly manifested in the
course of the difficult and protracted
bargaining that took place between the
Eshkol government and the Johnson administration
over the sale of the F-4 Phantom fighter-bomber
to Israel. In the face of fierce bureaucratic
opposition to the sale, which originated
primarily in the Pentagon and the Department
of the State (Bard, 1988, p. 55), "the
pro-Israeli forces mounted a campaign
of their own in 1968" (Spiegel,
1985, p. 161). As Spiegel further observes, "A
variety of non-Jewish organizations also
endorsed the sale, including Americans
for Democratic Action, the American Legion,
and the AFL-CIO [American Federation
of Labor and Congress of Industrial Organizations]. …AIPAC
[American-Israeli Public Affairs Committee]
was active. It obtained statements supporting
the sale from every presidential candidate
and successfully lobbied for favorable
planks at each party convention" (Spiegel,
1985, p. 161). Concurrently, on the strategic
level, the War dramatically reinforced
the President's vision of Israel as a
reliable bulwark in the American effort
to contain the global forces of radicalism
and their regional proxies. Thus, Israel
was seen as a major asset to the West
- a vision that was irreconcilably juxtaposed
with President Johnson's image of President
Nasser as "unreliable and untrustworthy" (Johnson,
1968).
An even more dramatic illustration of how consensual
the American-Israeli framework had become,
and of the extent to which the U.S. was
now prepared to collaborate with Israel,
is provided by an examination of the
September 1970 Jordanian Crisis.
Through this accelerated process of consolidation,
expansion and institutionalization of
the American-Israeli alliance, which
became increasingly evident during the
post-1967 period, it was the Jordanian
theater that continued to be the prism
through which Israel's value in protecting
and defending American interests in the
region could be most clearly recognized.
The post-war period provided the impetus
for further upgrading and expanding the
relationship. Specifically, following
the massive Syrian invasion of Jordan
in 1970, the Nixon Administration embarked
upon new and unprecedented forms of security
cooperation with the Israeli government
of Golda Meir. Together they intended
to compel Syria to withdraw its troops
from the occupied Irbid area.
Seeking once again to prevent the imminent collapse
of the pro-Western King Hussein, Washington
and Jerusalem quickly moved to upgrade
the level of their bilateral strategic
cooperation by inaugurating such measures
as joint contingency planning, extensive
and real-time intelligence sharing, and
the pursuit, on the part of the IDF,
of a strong deterrence strategy on the
Israeli-Syrian border along the Golan
Hights.
This deterrence strategy was most clearly manifested
in the massive mobilization drive, started
by the IDF on September 18 that threatened
to outflank the Syrian contingent in
Jordan. The move contributed to Damascus's
decision to begin its military disengagement
from Jordan on September 22 (Ben-Zvi,
2007, p. 77). This mobilization effort
was accompanied by a welter of strong
American statements, warning both Syria
and its Soviet patron that unless the
Syrian contingent stopped its advance
into Jordan, Israel would retaliate by
launching both ground and air operations
against the invading Syrian forces (Kissinger,
1979, p. 626; Ashton, 2008, p. 152).
Although, because of Jordan’s successful counteroffensive,
Israel was not needed to carry out the
intervention, its role in the Crisis
helped to further consolidate and reinforce,
its image as a reliable and valuable
strategic asset and an indispensable
guardian of American interests in the
region (Ashton, 2008, p. 155). In the
words of Yitzhak Rabin, who was Israel's
Ambassador in Washington during the Crisis
:
Nixon and Kissinger came out of the Crisis with a
new appreciation of Israel's willingness
and capacity to act on behalf of common
American and Israeli strategic interests
in the Middle East. The availability
of Israeli forces, when the adequacy
of U.S. military capability was questionable,
put new light on Israel's potential as
a strategic asset (Rabin, 1979, p. 189.
See also Dowty, 1984, p. 178).
Against the backdrop of the "Nixon Doctrine," there was no feasible alternative
to this reliance upon Israeli deterrence
power and intervention threats as a means
of “preventing the deterioration
in Jordan and in blocking the attempt
to overthrow the regime there" (Rabin,
1979, p. 189).
With the September 1970 Jordanian Crisis providing
the opportunity for Israel to demonstrate
its unwavering commitment to its embattled
Eastern neighbor, there was no longer
any need for additional proof of Israel's
strategic value in the American effort
to contain the forces of Arab radicalism
and their Soviet patron. Thus, the American-Israeli
alliance assumed a life of its own and
could further develop and expand on its
own intrinsic merits without needing
to prove its continued viability and
usefulness.
The new appreciation for Israel's strategic role
in the region prompted the Nixon administration
to increase the level of military and
economic aid to Israel. The strengthening
of these strategic bonds was accompanied
by a reluctance to pressure Israel to
soften its opposition to the peace initiative
launched by Secretary of State William
Rogers in December 1969. Rogers was also
undermined by Kissinger who was convinced
that, in the absence of any Arab willingness
to compromise, the exertion of American
pressure upon Israel could only benefit
the Soviet Union. Kissinger preferred
to delay any major diplomatic drive until
the regional setting became more conducive
to such efforts.
This pattern was finally modified in the aftermath
of the October 1973 War when American
diplomacy became focused on incrementally
defusing the Arab-Israeli conflict. For
Kissinger, one of the key changes in
the environment was Egyptian President Anwar Sadat's willingness to deviate
from his predecessor's exclusive reliance
upon the Soviet Union as a source of
military and political support. This
presented an opening to induce Egypt
to upgrade and consolidate its relations
with the United States at the direct
expense of the Soviet Union (Miller,
2007, p. 227).
The administration still hoped to reconcile this
new peace-making effort with its preliminary
vision of Israel as a valuable strategic
asset. The fact that the desire to consolidate
Washington's new strategic partnership
with Egypt called upon Israel to make
territorial concessions, however, became
a major source of friction and strain
between Washington and Jerusalem and
the relationship was temporarily clouded.
In his quest to mediate an Egyptian-Israeli accord
in the Sinai Peninsula in late 1974, Secretary Kissinger
fully accepted the Egyptian position.
This position demanded a unilateral Israeli
withdrawal in the Sinai Peninsula without
a reciprocal political move on Egypt's
part as a precondition for reaching an
agreement. Israel's refusal, however,
to withdraw to the Mitla and Gidi passes
without an Egyptian compensatory move
was viewed as an impediment to the development
of closer ties between Washington and
Cairo. To pressure the Israelis, President
Gerald Ford and Secretary Kissinger announced
in March 1975 their intention to "reassess" relations
with Israel. On the tactical level, the
reassessment policy consisted of several
measures that were intended to coerce
Israel into signing an agreement with
Egypt despite its asymmetrical nature.
The ploy was undermined, however, when
76 U.S. Senators wrote a letter to Ford
on May 22, 1975, reaffirming the importance
of the U.S.-Israel relationship and opposing
any withdrawal of support for Israel.
The United States’ willingness, in the spring
of 1975, to favor the newly-established
partnership with Sadat's Egypt over its
relationship with Israel exposed a gap
between the respective premises of the
special relationship paradigm and the
national interest orientation, albeit
in a considerably more muted and mitigated
fashion than the highly-charged 1956
episode. Indeed, whereas the 1956 Crisis
unfolded against the depiction of the
Ben Gurion government as a strategic
liability by the Eisenhower administration,
the reassessment policy of 1975 unfolded
in a considerably more benign atmosphere
and never threatened to either adversely
affect the core of the special relationship
or to escalate into a fundamental reassessment
of Israel's overall strategic role in
the region in the post-1973 environment.
Faced with a recalcitrant and angry Congress, the Ford administration was forced to abandon
its reassessment policy and to compensate
Israel for the unilateral concessions
it was still called upon to make to Egypt.
Indeed, the American-Israeli Memorandum
of Understanding (MOU), which accompanied
the second Sinai Agreement on September
1, 1975, incorporated several far-reaching
guarantees of a political and strategic
nature to Israel, including the commitment
not to recognize the PLO as long as it
did not recognize Israel's right to exist
and did not accept Security Council Resolution
242. It was these American commitments
that convinced Prime Minister Rabin to
eventually sign the Sinai Accord.
An effort by President Jimmy Carter on October 1,
1977, to compel Israel to understand
that there could be no peace without
the PLO fared no better than the reassessment
initiative. As was the case in 1975,
Carter's coercive drive, designed to
force Israel to accept the PLO as a negotiating
partner at the Geneva Peace Conference
was unsuccessful. Specifically, seeking
to convene the Geneva Peace Conference
for the purpose of concluding comprehensive
settlement before the end of 1977 (and
faced with an adamant Israeli refusal
to negotiate with the PLO, which was
engaged in massive terrorist activity
against Israeli civilians), the Carter administration embarked upon a new initiative,
which was designed to confront the Israel
government with a unified superpower
position in the form of a joint statement
on the parameters of regional peace in
the Middle East. It was expected that
the document, which called for "ensuring
the legitimate rights of the Palestinian
people" (Ben-Zvi, 1993, p. 114),
would force Israel to face up to the "fact" that
there could be no peace without the participation
of the PLO (although the October 1 statement
did not directly refer to the PLO, President
Carter's well-known and frequently expressed-view
was that it was the only legitimate representative
of the Palestinian people). The president's
expectations failed to materialize. Faced
not only with an unwavering Israeli refusal
to comply with the Palestinian terms
of the October 1 document, but also with
an equally recalcitrant and defiant domestic
public opinion (which was critical of
both the administration's effort to coerce
Israel, and the invitation to the Soviet
Union - embedded in the collaborative
superpower initiative - to reenter the
Middle East as an equal sponsor of the
peace process), the embattled administration
quickly came to realize that it lacked
the necessary support to exert effective
pressure upon Israel to acquiesce and
accept the PLO as a negotiating party
at Geneva (Ben-Zvi, 1993, p. 115). As
a result, American Middle East diplomacy
was forced to shift gears and fundamentally
revise the October 1 document in a way
which stripped it of any coercive meaning
or intention (Spiegel, 1985, p. 338).
In this highly-charged atmosphere, and against the
backdrop of the storm of domestic protest,
that greeted the October 1 superpower
communiqué, the conclusion - on
October 5,1977 - of the American-Israeli
working paper, can be viewed as a partial
repudiation of the basic premises of
the American-Soviet initiative. Above
all, by virtue of stating that UN Resolution
242 (which addressed the Palestinian
problem in humanitarian rather than political
terms and was omitted from the October
1 document) remained the only basis for
negotiations at Geneva, the working paper,
with one stroke, stripped the October
1 initiative of any new political significance
(Spiegel, 1985, p. 338; Ben-Zvi, 1993,
p. 120). Although the American-Israeli
working paper still called for Palestinian
participation at the Geneva gathering
(which, in the end, was never convened),
it specifically reconfirmed the 1975
MOU to Israel according to which any
new participant at Geneva would have
to be endorsed by all the parties, including
Israel. Less than two months after the
superpower document was released in Washington
and Moscow, President Sadat's dramatic
peace initiative came to overshadow Carter's
energetic efforts.
Contrary to Secretary Kissinger's effort to predicate
his peace-making drive in the Egyptian-Israeli
sphere upon the notion of gradualism,
President Carter adopted a considerably
more ambitious and optimistic approach
in an attempt to simultaneously tackle
all the root-causes of the Arab-Israeli
predicament. Carter did not wish to segment
the various facets of the dispute into
separate components. Rather, he emphasized
the need to focus on the Palestinian
problem as an integral part of the overall
peace-making effort.
Desite the president's unbounded optimism and his
conviction that even highly-charged and
multifaceted disputes such as the Arab-Israeli
conflict could be resolved with one stroke
through his mediation skills, his failure
to convene the desired multilateral peace
conference, and his ill-fated effort
of October 1, 1977, to involve the Soviet
Union in the peace-making process, angered
and frustrated President Sadat. The Egyptian
president, who defected from the Soviet
sphere of influence and embarked upon
a pro-American posture, was deeply disappointment
with Carter's attempt to turn the clock
back by inviting the Soviets to reenter
the Middle East diplomatic scene (and
with the president's apparent inability
to proceed toward peace). As a result,
President Sadat decided to forgo the
ineffective American mediation and, instead,
to proceed unilaterally toward peace
with Israel. His dramatic peace initiative,
which was launched in November 1977,
ultimately led President Carter to adopt
Kissinger's step-by-step approach as
the only viable method for proceeding
toward peace between Egypt and Israel.
While the president never abandoned his
desire to use the Egyptian-Israeli peace
process as an impetus for reaching a
broader Palestinian-Israeli accord, he
ultimately had to acquiesce in the face
of Israel's irreversible refusal to proceed
beyond the delimited boundaries of its
November 1977 Autonomy Plan. Indeed, while Carter's relentless
quest for comprehensive peace remained
a constant source of tension in American-Israeli
relations even after the Egyptian-Israeli
Peace Treaty, this strain did not impact
either the core of the special relationship
paradigm or the national interest orientation
during Carter's tenure in the White House
(Ben-Zvi, 1993, p. 121).
Phase
4: 1981-1991
It was only during
the Reagan era, beginning on January
20, 1981, that a gap between the two
paradigms surfaced for the first time
since the early 1950s.
The Reagan years (January 1981-January 1989) were
characterized by an asymmetrical, twofold
process within the American-Israeli framework.
It became increasingly clear that at
least a few of the components incorporated
into the special relationship paradigm
began to fade into the background in
the wake of such events as the 1982 Lebanon War and the first Intifada; both
of which exposed discrepancies between
Israel's apparent modus operandi in
these episodes, and the preexisting image
of Israel as a small, courageous and
democratic nation, trying to preserve
its independence in the face of acute
security threats. The bombing of West
Beirut, and the killings in the Sabra
and Shatila Palestinian camps in the course of the Lebanon
War, along with some of the military
tactics Israel used in trying to suppress
the first Intifada, precipitated
an erosion in several (albeit not the
most central) components of the special
relationship paradigm during the 1980s
(Ben-Zvi, 1993, p. 157).
Concurrent with this development, however, it became
increasingly evident during the 1980s
that "strategic cooperation between
Washington and Jerusalem developed on
a separate path from the diplomatic relationship. " This
alternate path of cooperation helped
to counterbalance the adverse impact
that the partial erosion of the special
relationship paradigm might have had
upon the very core of this dyad (Gold,
1988).
With the traditional propensity of most Americans
"to cite primarily moral and emotional
reasons for their support of Israel" (Blitzer,
1985, p. 72) progressively diminishing
in this relationship, it was thus the strategic
dimension that increasingly emerged during
the 1980s as the dominant basis of the
American-Israeli alliance.
Among the major milestones of the continuously expanding
security ties between Washington and
Jerusalem were the October 1983 NSC Directive
3 (NSDD-3), which reinstated and further
expanded forms of strategic collaboration
after the November 1981 Memorandum of
Understanding; the November 1983 American-Israeli
agreement on the establishment of a formal
Joint Political Military Group (JPMG)
to discuss such strategic issues as combined
planning, joint exercises, and requirements
for placement of American equipment in
Israel; the May 1986 decision of the
Reagan administration to include Israel
in the Strategic Defense Initiative (SDI)
research and development program; and
the December 1987 MOU that formally designated
Israel as a major non-NATO ally (Gold,
1992).
Derived from Reagan's initial desire to contain and
challenge Soviet influence in the Middle
East, this willingness to incorporate
Israel into Washington's overall strategic
designs in the region reflected the president's
vision of a basic compatibility and convergence
between the special relationship paradigm
and the national interest orientation,
despite the partial gap between them,
which became manifested during the Lebanon
War and the Intifada. As a result,
unwilling to weaken and alienate a major
strategic asset, President Reagan limited
his disapproving reaction to some of
the Israeli actions in the course of
the Lebanon War to a few largely symbolic
sanctions involving a few selected weapons
that were particularly open to domestic
criticism, such as cluster bombs Meanwhile, the administration
did not interrupt the flow of most military
equipment to Israel or seek to inflict
substantial damage upon Israel's economy
or overall military capability (Ben-Zvi,
1993, p. 147).
Indeed, the fact that American-Israeli relations
were still characterized during the Reagan
era by a broad spectrum of compatible
elements, helped to ultimately defuse
the crises that occasionally strained
this framework, particularly in the context
of the Lebanon War. After all, it was
clear that President Reagan shared most
initial Israeli war objectives in Lebanon,
including the destruction of the PLO's
strongholds and military infrastructure
in Southern Lebanon and Beirut; the withdrawal
of all foreign forces from Lebanon and
the establishment of a stable and viable
pro-Western government in Beirut, along
with the subsequent weakening of the
PLO's grip on the West Bank and the Gaza Strip.
In conclusion, the crises that occasionally strained
and clouded the scene of American-Israeli
relations in the 1980s developed in an
essentially benign and harmonious environment.
This reality guaranteed that the punishment
inflicted upon Israel would not threaten
to undermine the core of the relationship
since Israel was continuously looked
upon as an important strategic asset.
Furthermore, when the special relationship
paradigm began to lose part of its broad
public appeal, the stage was set for
proponents of the national interest orientation
to fill the vacuum by providing a set
of compelling strategic arguments as
the main justification for solidifying
the posture of supporting Israel politically,
economically and militarily. The effort
to predicate the American-Israeli partnership
upon a cluster of purely strategic premises
was successful over the course of the
1980s. Closely patterned on President
Reagan's initial bipolar confrontational
world view, this perception of Israel
as a bulwark and a military offset to
the Soviet Union emerged as the administration's
dominant perspective. It culminated in
a series of bilateral memoranda of understanding
on strategic cooperation and the overall
proliferation of security ties between
Washington and Jerusalem. Fully and irrevocably
committed to the premises of the special
relationship paradigm and to the vision
of Israel as an important strategic asset,
the strongly pro-Israeli Reagan was determined
not to allow specific disagreements and
disputes with Israel to adversely affect
the very core of the relationship.
Although President George H.W. Bush did view Israel
as a strategic asset and was highly appreciative
of its continued pursuit, during the
first Gulf War, of a low profile strategy
of restraint despite the Iraq’s
launching of SCUD missiles on its population
centers, he resorted to pressure tactics
in February 1992 in an effort to soften
Prime Minister's Yitzhak Shamir's approach
to the settlements issue.
Seeking to take full advantage of the fact that significant
segments of the Jewish-American leadership
were highly critical of Israel's settlement
policy in the West Bank, President Bush
demanded that Israel unconditionally
agree to indefinitely freeze all settlement
activity in the West Bank and East Jerusalem
as a precondition for receiving the much
needed $10 billion in housing loan guarantees
that the Israeli government requested
to accommodate the wave of Jewish immigrants
from the former Soviet Union and Ethiopia. This new linkage strategy
further aggravated a situation in American-Israeli
relation, which had already been fraught
with tension and controversy. This tension
resulted from the administration's determination
to extract from Israel significant political
concessions in the Palestinian sphere
in return for the loan guarantees. Not
only was Israel called upon to negotiate
(in the Madrid Middle East Conference,
which the administration convened in
October 1991) with Palestinians who did
not reside In the West Bank but who nonetheless
were included in the Palestinian working
committees on refugees and economic cooperation,
but the Shamir government had to cope
with expressions of harshness and irreconcilability
on the part of President Bush and his
outspoken and bellicose Secretary of
State, James Baker. A major landmark
along this confrontational road was President
Bush's press conference of September
12, 1991, which most clearly and quintessentially
exposed his belligerent attitude toward
Israel. In his remarks, the president
argued that Israel's supporters on Capitol
Hill were exclusively motivated by a
narrow and particularist cluster of domestic
political considerations which, in his
view, were incompatible with the American
national interest. By drawing this dichotomy
between
"American security" and "the
powerful political forces,"
with which he was confronted, president
Bush clearly attempted to question the
very legitimacy of the lobbying activity
in favor of the Israeli request for loan
guarantees, and thus to turn the clock
back to the Eisenhower era (Ben-Zvi, 1993,
p. 204).
At the end of the day, unwilling to confront the
president over the highly controversial
issue of Israel's settlement activity,
most representatives of the special relationship
paradigm in the Jewish community and
in the Congress either openly supported
or quietly acquiesced in Bush's new linkage
posture. The result was that the Israeli
government found itself deprived of much
of its traditional base of support in
American public opinion which had, in
the past, effectively constrained Washington's
margin of maneuverability in the Arab-Israeli
sphere.
Indeed, Shamir's last-ditch effort to secure at least
a portion of the requested loan without
complying with the new American precondition
proved futile and he ultimately remained
empty-handed, with the entire issue temporarily
suspended. Ultimately, while the "freezing
strategy" did not precipitate any
change in Shamir's long-standing, deeply-held
approach the settlements issue, it significantly
exacerbated his domestic difficulties
on the eve of the June 23, 1992, parliamentary
election, as the Israeli prime minister
appeared incapable of adequately addressing
the most urgent needs of the new immigrants.
There is no doubt that his defeat in
the election can be attributed in no
small measure to the de-facto American
intervention in the campaign, which played
into the hands of his opponent Yitzhak
Rabin. It was only with the formation
of a Labor government in the wake of
the Israeli parliamentary elections of
June 1992 and the subsequent inauguration
of a more selective settlement policy
by the new Rabin government that the
Bush administration decided to approve
the Israeli request for loan guarantees
without insisting on the complete suspension
of all building in the West Bank, but
did deduct from the guarantees the cost
of construction in the settlements above
a specified ceiling (Ben-Zvi, 1993, p.
206).
Phase
5 :1991-2001
During
the early phases of the Cold War, the
overriding American desire to forge an
inter-Arab coalition for the purpose
of containing Soviet penetration led
the Eisenhower Administration to adopt
a highly reserved policy toward Israel.
Fearing that any effort to make Israel
a strategic ally was bound to drive major
Arab powers into the Soviet Bloc and
thus jeopardize the containment enterprise,
American policy tilted toward the Arab
position on a variety of issues related
to the Arab-Israeli conflict and its
resolution. Four decades later, in a
vastly revised global and regional setting,
it was no longer essential to solicit
the goodwill of the Arab world to promote
the objective of containment. Likewise,
the umbrella of Russian support and backing
of such actors as Syria eroded markedly
and no trace was left of this initial
vision, from which specific courses of
action and policies toward Israel were
delineated in the early 1950s. The end
of the Cold War left the United States
In a position of undisputed dominance
in the Middle East. This new hegemonic
reality was manifested - in the context
of the Arab-Israeli conflict - in October
1991, when the Bush administration convened
the Madrid Conference, which was intended
to set in motion an accelerated peace
process on both the Syrian, Lebanese
and Palestinian tracks.
Bill Clinton was elected as president one year after
the Madrid process had been inaugurated
and initially approached the Palestinian
predicament with relative equanimity
against the backdrop of the new unipolar
setting (which minimized the danger that
regional disputes and crises would escalate
into acutely-threatening global conflagrations).
He became a strong supporter of both
the September 1993 Oslo Accords and the
October 1994 Jordanian-Israeli peace treaty (both of which originated in the
region rather than in Washington) (Dowty,
2005, p. 142).
Furthermore, when it became evident that the Oslo
Accords, which for the first time established
a framework for comprehensive peace between
Israel and the Palestinians (including
Palestinian self-government in the West
Bank and Gaza) (Dowty, 2005, p. 142),
could not be easily implemented (particularly
as a result of the fact that the PLO
- which recognized Israel in the Oslo
Accords - nevertheless refused to amend
the Palestinian Covenant, which called
for the destruction of the Jewish state),
the Clinton administration was forced
to intensify and expand its role as mediator
and guarantor in subsequent years. Indeed,
in the negotiations which led to the
conclusion, in September 1995, of the
Palestinian-Israeli Interim Agreement
(Oslo II); to the signing, in January
1997, of the Hebron Agreement between
Israel and the PLO; and to the conclusion,
in October 1998, of the Wye Accords,
the American role was crucial. In all
three instances, the commitments and
guarantees that the administration provided
to Israel as compensation for the unilateral
concessions that it was called upon to
make to the PLO in proceeding toward
a permanent Palestinian settlement, supplemented
the agreements as indispensible "positive
sanctions."
Viewing Israel as a strong and reliable asset in
the intensifying confrontation against
the Islamic forces of radicalism, President
Clinton was clearly reluctant - throughout
his eight years in the White House -
to resort to tactics of pressure and
punishment in his quest to modify Israeli
positions in the Palestinian area, even
on those occasions when he disagreed
with specific Israeli actions. Instead,
the president continuously preferred
to use the tactics of persuasion and
compensation in negotiating with successive
Israeli governments (Ben-Zvi, 2000, p.
14).
The last instance of American involvement in the
Israeli-Palestinian dispute during the
Clinton era, which exposed an acquiescent
pattern of behavior in the face of inflexible
and irreconcilable Palestinian positions,
was the Camp David Conference of July
2000. With his tenure approaching its
end, President Clinton - who fully supported
the far-reaching Israeli proposals (initiated
by Prime Minister Ehud Barak) to reach
a final and comprehensive settlement
with the Palestinians (which would allow
for the establishment of a Palestinian
state in no less than 97 percent of the
West Bank) - nonetheless remained passive
in the face of Yasir Arafat's intransigence
and refusal to reciprocate Barak's accommodative
approach and sweeping concessions (Dowty,
2005, p. 154).
Phase
6: 2001-2008 : Concluding Remarks
American policy toward Israel during President George W. Bush's tenure (January 2001-January
2009), derived directly from the traumatic
experience of September 11, 2001. These
terrorist attacks provided a major impetus
for further strengthening and solidifying
the strategic, as well as cultural and
ideological bond, between the two allies,
which were threatened by different agents
of the same axis of terror. Indeed, the
fact that both the Bush Administration
and an overwhelming majority of the American
public continued to view Israel - throughout
the second Intifada - as a victim
state that, like the U.S., confronted
the challenge of international terrorism,
helped to reinvigorate the U.S.-Israel
partnership and reinforced the image
of two democracies under siege in this
very real, highly-menacing clash of civilizations.
Under these circumstances, with the emergence of
a large segment of the Christian Evangelist
community as a new and powerful representative
of the special relationship paradigm,
a vision of harmony between the ideological
and strategic sources of support of Israel
came once again to dominate the landscape
of American-Israeli relations, overshadowing
any sources of friction and tension in
this overwhelmingly consensual framework.
The combination of the war on terror with Bush's
belief that engaging in Middle East diplomacy
would be ineffective, and a solution
to the conflict unlikely, led him to
initially assign a low priority to the
Palestinian issue. Unlike the reserved
- and occasionally highly-critical approach
toward Israel (particularly in connection
with the Palestinian issue) - that characterized
his father's tenure as president, George
W. Bush openly and vigorously backed
Israel in its military operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon (in 2006) and Hamas in Gaza (in 2008). On those occasions
when the president was drawn into the
peace-making process, he invariably attempted
to steer it in a direction that was compatible
with his preexisting attitude toward
Israel.
A clear illustration of this approach was evident
on April 14, 2004, when the president,
in a letter to Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon, asserted that any permanent
Palestinian-Israeli settlement should
reflect the current demographic realities
in the West Bank; namely, the existence
of both urban and agricultural blocs
of Israeli settlements in the area. While
fully compatible with the notion of territorial
trade-offs between these pockets of Israeli
settlements and certain territories inside
the "green line," Bush's position
represented a dramatic break with previous
American peace initiatives, such as the Rogers Plan of December 1969, which was
predicated upon the notion of a near-total
Israeli withdrawal from the territories
occupied in June 1967 as a necessary
precondition for permanent peace. Combined
with the Bush Administration's supportive
course during the second Lebanon War in 2006, this about-face of the traditional
American approach to the Palestinian
situation injected new life into the
American-Israeli alliance.
It remains to be seen whether the Obama administration will continue to be fully and irrevocably
committed to the consensual premises
of this relationship and whether he will
seek to broaden his administration's
margin of maneuverability in his quest
to accomplish the elusive goal of permanent
peace between Israel and the Palestinians.
It similarly remains to be seen whether
President Obama's emphasis on diplomatic
rather than military means and tactics
will lead him to seek accommodation with
Iran and Syria at Israel's expense, thus
inaugurating a significantly less harmonious
chapter in the history of the American-Israeli
alliance.
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