Palestinian Attitudes About Peace With Israel (2004)

How likely is it that there will be peace with the Israelis in the near future? (Palestinian Center for Public Opinion, Nov. 19-23, 2004)

	9/23/02	2/9/04	10/18/04	11/27/04
Very likely	12.5%	7.8%	8.5%	11.3%
Somewhat likely	29.7%	40.9%	38.1%	32.0%
Somewhat unlikely	15.9%	25.0%	22.8%	27.2%
Very unlikely	31.1%	15.7%	20.5%	22.6%
Refused-do not read	10.8%	10.6%	10.1%	6.9%

Now that President Bush won the elections for a second term, do you think that he is serious in his intentions to implement his vision of the creation of a Palestinian state by the end of his term? (Center of Opinion Polls and Survey Studies at Najah National University, November 19-20, 2004).

Yes	11.6 %
No	81.7%
No Opinion/DK	6.7%

Do you think that it's the right of the Palestinians and Israelis to live in peace and security, or not? (Palestinian Center for Public Opinion, November 4 - 8, 2004)

Yes	54.7%
No	28.8%
Don't know	16.5%

Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose the notion that says that the political process (i.e. peace process) is the best thing we can get under current conditions (i.e. international changes): (Palestinian Center for Public Opinion, November 4 - 8, 2004)

Strongly agree	16.8%
Somewhat agree	40.3%
Somewhat disagree	17.6%
Strongly disagree	13.8%
Do not know	11.5%

Do you think that the Palestinians are obliged to waive their claims to the right of Home-return, which Israel will never agree to, as the price of establishing an independent state for them and the conclusion of a peace agreement with Israel? (Palestinian Center for Public Opinion, November 4 - 8, 2004)

The Palestinians have to accept that	15.0%
The Palestinians shouldn't accept that, even if consequently no peace agreement would be concluded with Israel.	72.2%
No opinion	12.8%

In case the Palestinian leadership would accept the waiver of the right of Home-return and replace that with financial compensation. Would you accept or refuse that? (Palestinian Center for Public Opinion, November 4 - 8, 2004)

would accept that	13.0%
would refuse that	78.6%
no opinion	8.4%

In general how optimistic or pessimistic do you feel toward the future? (JMCC, June 2004)(JMCC, June 2004)

Very optimistic	3.3
Optimistic	42.0
Pessimistic	33.8
Very Pessimistic	20.7
No answer	0.2

How optimistic or pessimistic are you towards reaching a peaceful settlement for the Arab-Israeli conflict? (JMCC, June 2004)

Very optimistic	1.8
Optimistic	26.8
Pessimistic	40.3
Very Pessimistic	30.3
No answer	0.8

Some believe that a two-state formula is the favored solution for the Arab-Israeli conflict, while others believe that historic Palestine cannot be divided and thus the favored solution is a bi-national state on all of Palestine wherein Palestinians and Israelis enjoy equal representation and rights. Which of these solutions do you prefer? (JMCC, June 2004)

Two-state solution: an Israeli and a Palestinian	44.5
Bi-national state on all of historic Palestine	26.5
One Palestinian State in all Palestine	11.1
There is no solution	13.6
Islamic State	2.3
Do not know	1.4
No answer	0.6

Do you see a difference between the USA and Europe policies against the Israeli-Palestinian conflict? (JMCC, June 2004)

Yes	39.8
No	55.3
No answer	4.9

Do you see, it is worth or not worth, or does not make difference to have a third party in the Palestinian lands to assist in solving the problem with Israel? (JMCC, June 2004)

It is worth to have a third party	43.3
It is not worth to have a third party	17.4
Make no difference	36.3
No answer	3.0

Do you see it as appropriate that the presence must be: International presence only to observe, or international presence with authority and power? (JMCC, June 2004)

International presence only to observe	34.7
International presence with authority and power	45.1
No answer	20.2

Do you see it is appropriate that the presence be represented by the USA only, the United Nations, or USA-Europe joint presence? (JMCC, June 2004)

USA only	3.4
United Nations	42.5
USA-Europe joint presence	32.0
No answer	22.1

Do you believe that the United States is serious about achieving peace in the Middle East? (The Birzeit University Development Studies Programme (DSP), June 6, 2004)

Yes	7.2
No	88.8
No opinion	3.9

6. Do you support return to negotiations with the Israelis? (The Birzeit University Development Studies Programme (DSP), June 6, 2004)

Yes	44.7
No	53.2
No opinion	2.1

7. Do you think that Israel has a genuine desire to achieve peace with the Palestinians? (The Birzeit University Development Studies Programme (DSP), June 6, 2004)

Yes	8.8
No	88.2
No opinion	3.0

8. Do you believe that peace is possible between Palestinians and Israelis if Israel does not recognize the right of Palestinian refugees to return? (The Birzeit University Development Studies Programme (DSP), June 6, 2004)

Yes	12.9
No	84.3
No opinion	2.8

9. Do you think that there is a chance for peaceful coexistence between Palestinians and Israelis on the basis of justice (according to UN resolutions)? (The Birzeit University Development Studies Programme (DSP), June 6, 2004)

Yes	37.7
No	54.3
No opinion	8.1

10. In the case that negotiations continue, under what auspices should they be under? (The Birzeit University Development Studies Programme (DSP), June 6, 2004)

Arab League	51.2
UN	25.4
others	13.5
USA	4.7
Not sure	5.2

11. Do you feel that the rallies organized by the Israeli peace movement are important in opposing Prime Minister Sharon's policies? (The Birzeit University Development Studies Programme (DSP), June 6, 2004)

Yes, Important	51.9
Important to some extent	22.8
Not Important	22.3
No opinion	3.0

What about the prisoners exchange between Israel and Hizballah? Who came out a winner: Israel or Hizballah? (don't read response options) (PCPSR, March 2004)

	Total	West Bank	Gaza Strip
Israel	8.6	8.7	8.3
Hizballah	80.2	82.7	76.0
Both	6.8	4.6	10.3
Neither	2.0	2.3	1.4
DK/NA	2.5	1.6	4.0