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Peace Index - 2002

Do you believe or not believe that in the coming years there will be peace between Israel and the Arabs? (Jews)

 

  Jan. Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

1. Certain there will be peace

4.4 5.8 5.0 5.1 5.1 2.6 4.0 4.0 n/a n/a 2.7 5.6

2. Think there will be peace

14.3 20.2 20.2 19.2 19.0 20.4 15.6 20.8 n/a n/a 16.3 17.1

3. In the middle

9.9 12.0 11.5 14.1 11.1 10.6 11.2 8.5 n/a n/a 11.3 10.7

4. Think there will not be peace

28.8 23.8 27.1 27.6 29.6 30.5 29.9 34.1 n/a n/a 24.8 23.8

5. Certain there will not be peace

39.5 37.1 33.7 31.0 34.0 33.1 36.3 30.8 n/a n/a 41.0 39.3

6. Dont know/no opinion

3.2 1.2 2.6 3.1 1.2 2.8 3.0 1.7 n/a n/a 3.8 3.6

 

In general, do you consider yourself a supporter or opponent of the peace process between Israel and the Arabs?

 

 

  Jan. Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

1. Greatly opposed

7.9 7.3 6.9 8.8 8.3 7.6 8.8 7.9 n/a n/a 9.4 8.3

2. Somewhat opposed

6.5 7.7 6.1 5.9 7.9 6.6 8.5 5.8 n/a n/a 4.4 5.0

3. In the middle

10.3 8.4 6.9 9.7 9.1 8.0 5.4 6.1 n/a n/a 10.0 11.5

4. Somewhat supportive

30.8 33.7 30.9 34.0 32.7 35.2 29.0 39.1 n/a n/a 27.9 29.4

5. Greatly supportive

43.1 41.1 47.3 39,8 40.6 39.8 47.1 39.7 n/a n/a 45.3 42.5

6. Dont know/no opinion

1.4 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.4 2.8 1.4 1.4 n/a n/a ---- 3.2

 

What is your opinion on the agreement that was signed in Oslo between Israel and the PLO (Agreement of Principles)?

 

 

  Jan. Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

1. Heavily in favor

10.7 10.4 10.7 7.0 5.1 6.2 7.0 6.8 n/a n/a 11.7 9.3

2. Somewhat in favor

15.3 18.1 17.8 12.4 16.2 13.6 15.6 19.8 n/a n/a 12.7 11.7

3. In the middle

20.0 17.4 16.8 16.3 18.8 17.0 15.0 16.1 n/a n/a 18.1 20.8

4. Somewhat opposed

14.1 14.9 16.2 16.7 17.8 17.2 15.4 18.0 n/a n/a 13.5 13.3

5. Heavily opposed

32.3 21.7 28.9 38.1 32.9 34.1 34.8 31.5 n/a n/a 34.2 33.3

6. Dont know/no opinion

7.5 7.5 9.5 9.6 9.1 12.0 12.2 7.7 n/a n/a 9.8 11.7

 

Do you believe or not believe that the Oslo Agreement between Israel and the PLO will bring about peace between Israel and the Palestinians in the coming years?

 

 

  Jan. Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

1. Greatly believe

3.8 2.5 3.2 2.1 1.6 2.5 0.9 2.5 n/a n/a 2.5 3.4

2. Somewhat believe

7.5 12.3 13.1 8.7 1.0 12.8 10.9 12.8 n/a n/a 8.6 11.1

3. In the middle

11.5 12.2 11.7 10.3 8.3 8.5 7.9 8.5 n/a n/a 13.8 10.7

4. Somewhat dont believe

20.6 20.7 22.0 19.5 26.1 27.9 18.4 27.9 n/a n/a 17.5 20.2

5. Certainly dont believe

50.0 45.6 43.0 51.4 48.2 43.4 53.1 43.4 n/a n/a 48.0 47.3

6. Dont know/no opinion

6.5 6.8 7.1 7.9 5.7 4.9 8.8 4.9 n/a n/a 9.6 7.3

 

What is your position regarding support for a full peace treaty between Israel and Syria in exchange for withdrawal from the Golan Heights?

 

 

  Jan. Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

1. Greatly in favor

12.5 12.2 15.5 9.5 10.1 8.0 10.7 9.4 n/a n/a n/a 10.7

2. Somewhat in favor

14.1 15.8 16.5 15.4 14.2 12.4 15.2 16.0 n/a n/a n/a 11.3

3. In the middle

13.1 13.7 8.9 11.6 10.3 11.8 12.7 11.4 n/a n/a n/a 11.7

4. Somewhat opposed

15.5 13.5 14.9 16.0 16.0 15.2 17.5 16.7 n/a n/a n/a 13.7

5. Greatly opposed

40.3 41.7 38.7 43.8 45.3 48.9 38.7 41.7 n/a n/a n/a 48.4

6. Dont know/no opinion

4.6 3.1 5.6 3.8 4.2 3.8 5.1 4.8 n/a n/a n/a 4.2

 

Do you believe or not believe that in the coming years there will be peace between Israel and Syria?

 

 

  Jan. Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

1. Certain there will be peace

2.4 3.3 1.6 1.7 3.0 2.4 2.8 2.0 n/a n/a n/a 3.1

2. Think there will be peace

19.2 25.3 21.8 22.0 20.4 20.4 20.2 18.4 n/a n/a n/a 18.6

3. In the middle

20.6 17.8 18.6 18.4 17.8 21.8 17.3 13.4 n/a n/a n/a 16.0

4. Think there will not be peace

28.2 27.5 29.3 28.4 30.4 27.9 32.2 36.5 n/a n/a n/a 26.9

5. Certain there will not be peace

23.4 22.1 20.8 22.0 24.3 20.8 21.5 25.3 n/a n/a n/a 29.0

6. Dont know/no opinion

6.2 4.1

7.9

6.7 4.2 6.8 6.0 4.4 n/a n/a n/a 6.4

 

Questions for September

 

Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: "Most of the Palestinians have not accepted the existence of the state of Israel and would annihilate it if they could"?

 

  Total Jewish Public Likud Voters Shas Voters Meretz Voters
Agree 71% 84% 75% 50%
Disagree 18% 7% 15% 43%
Ambivalent/ Don't know 11% 9% 10% 7%

 

Among the following issues, what should be Israel's most important goal?

 

  Total Jewish Public Likud Voters Labor Voters Shas Meretz
Achieving peace with the Arabs 34% 28% 45% 30% 61%
Improving the econmic situation 22% 44% 15% 40% 4%
Achieving national unity 31% 20% 20% 25% 25%

 

Questions for October

Do you support or oppose the continued existence of the national unity government?

 

  Likud Labor Shas Meretz
Support 79 63 76 40
Oppose 18 26 20 50
Don't know 3 11 4 10

 

Without connection to your position on the future of the settlements in general, do you support or oppose the evacuation of the illegal outposts in the present situation?

 

  Likud Labor Shas Meretz
Support 73 85 36 94
Oppose 26 12 56 0
Don't know 1 3 8 6

 

Where would you locate yourself on a spectrum from Right (1) to Left (10)?

 

  Entire Jewish Public Likud Labor Shas Meretz
Extreme Right 20 40 0 18 0
Moderate Right 22 32 7 36 0
Center 41 25 60 36 22
Moderate Left 11 2 21 9 39
Extreme Left 6 2 12 0 39

 

 

The peace index project was conducted by the Tami Steinmetz Research Institute for Peace at Tel Aviv University, headed by Prof. Ephraim Ya'ar and Dr. Tamar Hermann.


Source: Tami Steinmetz Research Institute for Peace