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Americans Overestimate Population of Jews and Others

(January 14 - 20, 2022)

When it comes to estimating the size of demographic groups, Americans rarely get it right. In two recent YouGov polls, respondents were asked to guess the percentage (ranging from 0% to 100%) of American adults who are members of 43 different groups. The surveys found that Amercians tend to vastly overestimate the size of minority groups.

Category Estimated Proportion True Proportion
Are Muslim 26% 1%
Are Native American 27% 1%
Are Jewish 30% 2%
Are gay or lesbian 30% 3%
Are atheists 33% 3%
Are bisexual 29% 4%

Are Asian

29% 6%
Are Black 41% 12%
Are Hispanic 39% 17%
Are Catholic 41% 22%
Are Democrats 51% 42%
Are Republicans 50% 47%
Are White 59% 64%

Are Christian

58% 70%

Source: @YouGovAmerica, (January 14 - 20, 2022).